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Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Science Markets
Will researchers develop a large-scale application using silk-based materials for 6G networks by August 1, 2026?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
30% chance
Will researchers confirm AI self-replication in a public vulnerability test by July 1, 2026?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
Will NASA's C-20A data significantly revise earthquake models by June 30, 2026?
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
60% chance
Will NASA's NEO Surveyor mission successfully detect and confirm a previously unknown near-Earth object by June 30, 2026?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
Will new evidence of additional whole genome duplication events in flowering plants be confirmed by June 30, 2026?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
30% chance
Will a country publicly announce the deployment of the new aqueous battery technology by June 30, 2026?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
Will a larger prototype of a quantum battery that charges in under a minute be publicly demonstrated by August 1, 2026?
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
60% chance
Will a study confirming a round-trip mission to Mars in under a year be published by June 30, 2026?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
30% chance
Will a significant discovery about prehistoric copper smelting in the Pyrenees be confirmed by June 30, 2026?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
Will a new trajectory method halve Mars round-trip time by June 30, 2026?
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
40% chance
Will the STAR system enable at least 10 successful pregnancies by June 30, 2026?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
Will the DAMPE satellite's findings lead to a revision of cosmic ray models by June 30, 2026?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
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