Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $100,000 on any recognized exchange platform at any point before or on December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC. This market resolves to No if it does not reach $100,000 by that time.
Will the Medicare Advantage payment gap be reduced to $70 billion or less by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a DNA origami vaccine is officially granted FDA approval for human use on or before December 31, 2026. Any other outcome, including no approval or usage authorization by the given date, will result in a No resolution.
Will Canada maintain its supply management provisions in the CUSMA review by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or surpasses $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from recognized exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.
49% chanceWill Apple sell over 2 million units of the MacBook Neo by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the Bon Jovi biopic produced by Universal Pictures grosses over $500 million worldwide by December 31, 2026. The box office gross will be verified from reputable sources such as Box Office Mojo and The Hollywood Reporter.
Will Hims & Hers successfully integrate Novo Nordisk's obesity drugs into their platform by December 2026?
50% chanceWill Amazon's healthcare AI tool for Prime members be widely used by at least 1 million users by the end of 2026?
Will ServiceNow report an unemployment rate for college grads over 30% by the end of 2026?
Will Pepeto's Cross Chain Bridge support over 100,000 transactions per second by the end of 2026?
Will the SUPPLYCO AI Platform announce an integration with QuTwo OS by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a virtual awards event, specifically branded as a 'Black Twitter' event and reported by major media, takes place by December 31, 2026. The event should aim to celebrate or recognize trends, people, or tweets associated with Black Twitter.
Will Rep. Andy Ogles' immigration overhaul bill pass the House by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Spotify publicly announces that they have reached or surpassed 300 million paid subscribers by December 31, 2026. The count will be based on official announcements or reports from Spotify, credible media outlets, or financial statements.
This market resolves to Yes if Bitcoin's price exceeds $100,000 at any point before or on December 31, 2026, based on verified data from major exchanges like Coinbase or Binance.
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.