Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
Will Iran and the US reach a new nuclear agreement by December 31, 2026?
Will Jared Harris's legal action against the AI podcast be settled by December 31, 2026?
Will a podcast from a university located in California win the NPR College Podcast Challenge in 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Silverflow publicly announces a valuation of at least $250 million by December 31, 2026. Verification must come from a credible financial news source or company press release.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the US Congress passes and the President signs into law any new legislative measures explicitly restricting the President's war powers over military operations. The market resolves to No if no such law is enacted by the given date.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a pilot program successfully demonstrates that behavioral health data can securely and effectively flow between providers, vocational programs, and housing authorities in the nine states selected by ASTP/ONC. The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the ASTP or relevant authorities indicating success.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple's new 'citrus' MacBook Neo sells more units than the previous MacBook model by December 31, 2026. The data will be sourced from Apple's official sales reports and other credible publications.
Will TeraWulf maintain its 'Treasury Holding' strategy until December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Kate Middleton makes an official royal appearance wearing traditional Welsh attire by December 31, 2026. An official appearance is defined as one where Kate Middleton, as Princess of Wales, is representing the British Royal Family in an official capacity. Evidence must be from a reputable news source with photographic confirmation.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, TeraWulf has publicly reported through its official filings or press releases that over 50% of the Bitcoin mined by the company in 2026 is retained as part of its strategic reserves. This must be clearly stated in a verifiable source.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, human brain cells on a chip, similar to those developed by Cortical Labs, can play the game Doom with performance metrics (e.g., completion time, accuracy, strategic decision-making) that are comparable to those of average human gamers, as determined by a verified and publicly available demonstration or study.
Will a Directorate of Agricultural Engineering be established in Maharashtra by December 2026?
Will Manuka Resources resume silver and gold production by December 2026?
Will Exxaro increase its shareholding in Jupiter Mines to over 20% by December 31, 2026?
Will ENGIE begin Bitcoin mining operations at its Brazilian solar farm by the end of 2026?
Will Singapore implement mandatory AI tools for all legal proceedings by the end of 2026?
Will the EU's rollbacks of climate regulations be reinstated by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Meta announces, through official corporate communication or credible media sources, that it has laid off 20% or more of its workforce by December 31, 2026. The reference point will be the workforce size reported as of December 31, 2025. If no such announcement is made by the deadline, this market resolves to No.
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.