Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
Will the Greenland Ice Sheet contribute over 1mm to global sea-level rise in 2026?
Will Disney's plan to turn Disney+ into a comprehensive membership ecosystem show a 10% increase in active subscribers by Q1 2027?
Will the revival of Thomas Edison's nickel-iron battery gain commercial use by March 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. GDP growth rate for the year 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, exceeds 3.0%. The resolution will occur following the official release of the 2026 annual GDP report, typically published in Q1 of the following year. Data from other sources will not be used for resolution.
Will the updated COVID vaccines significantly reduce infection rates by March 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if, by March 31, 2027, official reports confirm that over 50% of Punjab's rice cultivation area has adopted the Direct Seeded Rice (DSR) method as part of the state's sustainable agriculture initiatives. Verification will be based on reports from the Punjab government's agriculture department or a credible national news source.
This market resolves to Yes if, by March 31, 2027, a peer-reviewed scientific study confirms that energy in turbulence can transfer from small to large scales (backward energy cascade), reversing the traditional forward cascade model, as demonstrated by computer simulations at KTH Royal Institute of Technology. Confirmation must be published in a reputable scientific journal.
This market resolves to Yes if Meta's new social media feature gains more monthly active users (MAUs) than TikTok's latest feature by the end of Q1 2027, as reported by independent and recognized market analysts or official company disclosures.
This market resolves to Yes if reported global crypto money-laundering activities, as published by a reputable source like Chainalysis, exceed $90 billion for the year 2026. Verification needs to be from data or reports released within the first quarter of 2027. The estimation must come from recognized blockchain analysis firms or credible financial institutions.
This market resolves to Yes if peer-reviewed study results published by March 2027 show that the dual-drug strategy significantly improves clinical outcomes (such as progression-free survival or overall response rate) for patients with triple-negative breast cancer compared to current standard treatments.
This market resolves to Yes if the global recorded music revenue, as reported by MIDiA Research or other authoritative industry sources, exceeds $42 billion for the year 2026. This will take into account revenue from streaming, merchandise, live performances, and branding rights.
Will NMDC produce over 55 million tonnes of iron ore in FY 2026-27?
This market resolves to Yes if there is credible evidence by April 2027 that the expansion of Cardinal Health's Actinium-225 (Ac-225) production has successfully eased supply constraints for targeted alpha therapies. Confirmation can come from industry reports, announcements from Cardinal Health, or independent healthcare analyses indicating a reduction in supply issues.
This market resolves to Yes if the Detroit Red Wings qualify for the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The decision will be based on the official NHL playoff standings at the end of the 2026-2027 regular season.
Will the US infant mortality rate fall below 5.0 per 1,000 live births in 2026?
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.