Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if, by March 31, 2027, official reports confirm that over 50% of Punjab's rice cultivation area has adopted the Direct Seeded Rice (DSR) method as part of the state's sustainable agriculture initiatives. Verification will be based on reports from the Punjab government's agriculture department or a credible national news source.

This market resolves to Yes if the SEC publicly announces and implements new regulations specifically targeting cryptocurrencies linked to Trump-affiliated projects by December 31, 2026. Public announcements must come directly from the SEC through official channels. General cryptocurrency regulations that do not specifically mention Trump-linked projects will not qualify for a 'Yes' outcome.

This market resolves to Yes if official healthcare reports indicate a 20% or higher increase in the number of UK patients opting to pay for certain healthcare services out of pocket compared to baseline numbers from prior years, by December 31, 2026.

Will Japan's first stem-cell treatment for Parkinson’s disease be commercially available by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the stem-cell treatment for Parkinson’s disease, approved by Japan for manufacturing and sale, becomes commercially available to the public by December 31, 2026. Availability must be verifiable through a reputable announcement by Sumitomo Pharma or a reliable news source.

This market resolves to Yes if, according to official reports or announcements from Conagra or local authorities, at least 100 jobs are created as part of Conagra's $220 million expansion of its Fayetteville manufacturing site by December 31, 2030. The market will resolve to No if fewer than 100 jobs are announced or created by this date.

Will Apple's 'citrus' MacBook Neo become a top 5 bestseller in its segment by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Apple's 'citrus' MacBook Neo is listed as a top 5 bestseller in the 'budget laptops' segment by a major market analytics company or industry report by the end of 2026. Valid sources may include Gartner, IDC, or similar reputable market research firms.

Will Congress pass a resolution to limit presidential war powers on Iran by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a resolution is passed by both the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate limiting the U.S. President's war powers specifically regarding military actions against Iran by December 31, 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if Britney Spears is convicted in relation to her recent DUI arrest by July 31, 2026. Official court records or credible news sources reporting the verdict will be used to resolve the market.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a pilot program successfully demonstrates that behavioral health data can securely and effectively flow between providers, vocational programs, and housing authorities in the nine states selected by ASTP/ONC. The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the ASTP or relevant authorities indicating success.

Will Apple's new 'citrus' MacBook Neo outsell the previous model by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Apple's new 'citrus' MacBook Neo sells more units than the previous MacBook model by December 31, 2026. The data will be sourced from Apple's official sales reports and other credible publications.

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the US Congress passes and the President signs into law any new legislative measures explicitly restricting the President's war powers over military operations. The market resolves to No if no such law is enacted by the given date.

This market resolves to Yes if Silverflow publicly announces a valuation of at least $250 million by December 31, 2026. Verification must come from a credible financial news source or company press release.