Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if, by March 31, 2027, a peer-reviewed scientific study confirms that energy in turbulence can transfer from small to large scales (backward energy cascade), reversing the traditional forward cascade model, as demonstrated by computer simulations at KTH Royal Institute of Technology. Confirmation must be published in a reputable scientific journal.

This market resolves to Yes if Oracle has publicly announced the completion of its layoffs driven by AI efficiencies by October 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official Oracle press releases or credible news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if NASA carries out a successful test of its new lunar mission as part of its moon program by the end of 2026. The resolution of this market will be based on official announcements from NASA confirming the success of the mission test.

This market resolves to Yes if the Bon Jovi biopic produced by Universal Pictures grosses over $500 million worldwide by December 31, 2026. The box office gross will be verified from reputable sources such as Box Office Mojo and The Hollywood Reporter.

This market resolves to Yes if Monogram Health officially announces the expansion of its in-home care services to at least one new US state by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official Monogram Health communication such as a press release or their official website.

Will Bitcoin's price exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or surpasses $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from recognized exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.