Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

Will at least two US states implement hospital price caps by the end of 2026?

55%chance 11 today
Ends Jan 1, 2027
S
Someone else28%
K
Kash Patel (FBI Director)18%
H
Howard Lutnick (Commerce)14%
P
Pete Hegseth (Defense)12%
R
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (HHS)8%
N
No further departures in 20268%
S
Susie Wiles (Chief of Staff)6%
M
Marco Rubio (State)3%
S
Scott Bessent (Treasury)3%
9 outcomes

Will the Senate Health Committee Chair be Roger Marshall by January 15, 2027?

60%chance 2 today
Ends Jan 14, 2027

Will US IPO proceeds exceed $160 billion in 2026?

50%chance 12 today
Ends Jan 15, 2027

Will UnitedHealth's 2026 adjusted profit exceed $17.75 per share?

50%chance 6 today
Ends Jan 28, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if General Motors' electric vehicle division reports a profitable quarter (positive net income) by the end of the fourth quarter of 2026. The official financial statements released by GM for Q4 2026 will be used to determine the outcome.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if official national health statistics show that Australian private health insurance enrolments decrease by more than 10% in 2026 compared to 2025 levels, primarily attributed to the premium hikes announced for April 2026. The resolution will rely on reports from authoritative bodies such as the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) or similar organizations.

40% chance

Will vinyl record sales surpass one billion dollars again by the end of 2026?

70%chance 2 today
Ends Jan 31, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if, by January 31, 2027, there is verifiable and widely reported news that Mohamed Nur, as the parliamentary speaker, has facilitated a consensus or agreement on a significant policy issue between the Somali ruling coalition and the opposition. Significant policy issues include but are not limited to national security, economic reform, or constitutional amendments.

40% chance

Will GM reduce its EV division losses by over $1 billion in 2026?

50%chance 15 today
Ends Jan 31, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if Amazon reports higher quarterly revenue than Walmart for every quarter in 2026. The comparison will be based on officially published earnings reports from both Amazon and Walmart.

50% chance
N
Nvidia30%
S
Salesforce25%
A
Amazon20%
M
Microsoft15%
M
Meta10%
5 outcomes

Will UK CPI inflation remain above 2% in Q4 2026?

50%chance 9 today
Ends Jan 31, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if the movie 'Doomsday', part of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, earns over $2 billion in worldwide box office revenue by January 31, 2027. The final data will be based on box office reporting sources such as Box Office Mojo.

40% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix releases Greta Gerwig's 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' in theaters globally by February 2027, as announced by AMC CEO during a call with analysts.

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Showing 433-456 of 743 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.