Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
Will SpaceX launch a mission carrying semiconductor manufacturing pods again by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Aroldis Chapman records at least 10 total strikeouts in relief appearances during Major League Baseball games played between July 7 and July 14, 2026, inclusive. Official MLB game statistics will determine the outcome.
Will Vladimir Putin announce a resignation or transfer of power by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling by December 31, 2026, that upholds the legality of a federal ban on assault weapons. The decision must explicitly address a federal assault weapons ban in place and conclude that it is constitutional. If no such ruling is issued, or if the Court rules against the ban's constitutionality, the market resolves to No. Any related rulings must be publicly available and verifiable through official Supreme Court records.
Will the UK government announce updated guidance for managing polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) by August 31, 2026?
Will Adani Group's defence manufacturing unit in Madhya Pradesh officially begin operations by December 31, 2026?
Will Microsoft face new government investigations related to tax haven practices by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if any new formal government investigation (e.g., from the U.S. Department of Justice, IRS, or similar international governmental agencies) into Microsoft's tax strategies or tax haven usage is publicly announced on or before August 31, 2026. Investigations already disclosed or ongoing prior to July 6, 2026, do not count toward this market's resolution. Reliable announcements must be reported by major financial or tech news outlets.
Will Steven Spielberg officially announce the lead cast for 'The Mandela Catalogue' by August 15, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, by August 30, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine reported by at least two major international news outlets (e.g., AP News, BBC, Reuters). This includes any temporary or conditional ceasefire agreements covering all or part of the conflict area. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.
Will the James Webb Space Telescope discovery of a new molecule on Pluto or Titan be confirmed by August 31, 2026?
Will the U.S. death rate remain at a record low in 2026 according to CDC data released by August 31, 2026?
Will HCLTech announce a second major deal worth over $1 billion by August 31, 2026?
Will Microsoft Edge fully support Google account sign-ins without issues by August 15, 2026?
Will the Labor Department's July 2026 jobs report show an unemployment rate below 3.5%?
This market resolves to Yes if Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer publicly confirms that it has sold 100% of the Bitcoin it mines during the week ending on July 14, 2026. Confirmation must come from an official company statement, regulatory filing, or credible financial news outlet reporting on Bitdeer's activities.