Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

This market resolves to Yes if Oscar Health's stock price is greater than $12 at market close on December 31, 2026. Oscar Health has been making significant strides in healthcare innovation despite financial losses, impacting its stock performance. This market evaluates the ability of Oscar Health to maintain its stock price amid ongoing challenges and opportunities in the healthcare sector.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if official reports by December 31, 2026, show a substantial reduction in the invasive blue crab population due to the octopus release experiment off Italy's Adriatic coast.

55% chance
T
The Guardian25%
T
The Wall Street Journal20%
F
Financial Times20%
N
None of these20%
R
Reuters15%
5 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if Bally's secures new financing through equity sales, asset monetization, or other means by the end of 2026 to ensure its continued operations. This includes any publicly announced financing agreements that are finalized and deemed sufficient by financial analysts and the company itself to overcome its financial difficulties.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the US House of Representatives passes a bill focused on reforming financial regulations related to political entities or activities, including campaign finance or lobbying, by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official congressional records and credible news sources.

Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services announces new federal guidelines specifically targeting midwifery care by December 31, 2026. The guidelines must be focused on the practice and regulation of midwifery at a federal level. Any announcement made after this date will not be considered.

30% chance

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, as a result of the lawsuit Disney filed against the FCC, there is any official change announced regarding the renewal process of Disney's station licenses. It resolves to No if no such change is announced before that date.

30% chance

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement is made by the Mexican government or relevant cultural authorities regarding a new national museum exhibition dedicated to the recently discovered Zapotec tomb and its artifacts by December 31, 2026. The exhibition must be officially scheduled or opened to the public by this date.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, at least three U.S. states enact legislation that implements price caps on hospital services. The resolution will be based on official state legislative records confirming the enactment of such caps.

57% chance

Showing 73-96 of 621 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.