Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if Floyd Mayweather participates in a sanctioned professional boxing match that is not an exhibition bout by the end of December 31, 2026. Exhibition matches and any unsanctioned fights will not fulfill the criteria for this market.

Will OpenAI implement the 'Declaration of Humanity' guidelines by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if OpenAI publicly announces the adoption and integration of all five main pillars of the 'Declaration of Humanity' guidelines by December 31, 2026. These pillars include maintaining human control, preventing the centralization of power, protecting personal freedom, ensuring corporate accountability under the law, and confirming AI safety before use. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if any major sports league (such as the NFL, NBA, MLB, or Premier League) announces a policy requiring their finals or championship games to be broadcast on free-to-air television in addition to any paywalled streaming services by the end of 2026. The announcement must come explicitly from the league itself, not from individual broadcasters.

Will Amazon maintain a higher quarterly revenue than Walmart for all quarters in 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Amazon reports higher quarterly revenue than Walmart for every quarter in 2026. The comparison will be based on officially published earnings reports from both Amazon and Walmart.

This market resolves to Yes if the movie 'Doomsday', part of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, earns over $2 billion in worldwide box office revenue by January 31, 2027. The final data will be based on box office reporting sources such as Box Office Mojo.

This market resolves to Yes if Chevrolet's official 250th anniversary campaign includes a commercial aired during the Super Bowl scheduled for February 7, 2027. Any official announcement by Chevrolet or confirmation from the NFL that Chevy will broadcast a campaign-related ad during the Super Bowl constitutes a Yes resolution. If no such ad is aired or officially confirmed, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the Detroit Red Wings qualify for the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The decision will be based on the official NHL playoff standings at the end of the 2026-2027 regular season.