Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if the Laser Interferometer Lunar Antenna (LILA) project reports a successful demonstration of autonomous interferometry by July 31, 2026. The demonstration should be publicly announced by NASA or a related authoritative source.

This market resolves to Yes if Madonna's new album 'Confessions II' is officially released on or before September 30, 2026. Official release information must come from a credible source such as Madonna's official website, her social media accounts, or a major music distribution platform.

This market resolves to Yes if IBM, INFQ, or QBTS publicly demonstrates a quantum computer that is deemed commercially relevant by December 31, 2026, as per Trump's executive orders aiming for such a technological achievement by 2028. The determination of 'commercially relevant' will be based on a consensus of leading tech media reports and expert opinions.

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement or confirmation is made that a direct transport link, such as a shuttle or automated people mover, is operational between the Inglewood Metro station and SoFi Stadium on or before June 30, 2027. The confirmation must come from a reliable source such as the Los Angeles Metro, City of Los Angeles, or SoFi Stadium management.

Will Australia officially recognize citizen scientists' contributions in an official report by August 22, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Australian government or a major recognized scientific organization in Australia publishes an official report acknowledging the contributions of citizen scientists by August 22, 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if the Endocrine Society publicly announces, by September 2026, that hormone therapy is recommended over non-hormonal treatments (including fezolinetant) for menopause based on official guidelines or recommendations. The announcement must clearly state preference and be available on the Endocrine Society's official communication channels.

This market resolves to Yes if the upcoming Rolling Stones album, as mentioned by Mick Jagger, features a collaboration with Paul McCartney, confirmed through official album release details or statements by either artist by August 31, 2026.