Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

This market resolves to Yes if publicly available data for September 2026 shows that discretionary spending growth for lower-income Americans surpasses that of higher-income Americans, according to a report by the Bank of America Institute or an equivalent authoritative source.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if all companies referred to as the 'Magnificent Seven' (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) report earnings growth that outpaces the percentage growth of the S&P 500 index during their respective Q3 2026 earnings releases. The determination will rely on the reported earnings growth percentages (year-over-year) compared directly to the S&P 500 earnings growth percentage for Q3 2026, as published by financial sources such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or other widely trusted market data outlets by the close of the last Magnificent Seven company's earnings report release.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if during COP31, which is scheduled for November 2026, a major participating country or coalition announces a new substantial climate policy specifically addressing the recent acceleration in global warming, as reported by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The policy must be officially announced and publicly verified during the conference dates.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is officially released on November 19, 2026, as stated by Take-Two. This will be verified through Rockstar Games' official announcement or upon availability in major game retailers.

Ends Nov 19

Automated predictive market for Tech sector.

50% chance

Will Pepeto be listed on a tier-1 exchange by November 30, 2026?

60%chance 9 today
Ends Nov 30

This market resolves to Yes if NICE (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence) approves funding for the new Alzheimer's treatment by November 30, 2026. The decision must be officially announced by NICE and reported in at least one major healthcare news outlet.

55% chance
T
Taron Egerton40%
H
Hugh Jackman20%
T
Tom Hardy15%
N
None of these15%
K
Keanu Reeves10%
5 outcomes
H
Hallmark 25 Years Countdown to Christmas Event30%
D
Disney+'s The Artful Dodger Season 325%
G
Gorillaz Museum Exhibit in NYC20%
A
Anthrax's New Album Release15%
Other10%
5 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if the movie 'Ebenezer', starring Johnny Depp as Ebenezer Scrooge, has its official theatrical release or is made available for streaming to the general public by December 1, 2026.

Ends Dec 1
B
Blade Runner 2099 (Prime Video)45%
N
Neuromancer (Apple TV+)35%
M
Matchbox The Movie (Apple TV+)15%
Other5%
4 outcomes

Will GTA VI be released before Holiday 2026?

50%chance 11 today
Ends Dec 25

Showing 121-144 of 744 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.