Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if a major scientific publisher publicly announces the adoption of a new automated system specifically designed to detect fraudulent or fake scientific papers by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a recognized scientific publishing house and include details about the system being used.

This market resolves to Yes if a DNA origami vaccine is officially granted FDA approval for human use on or before December 31, 2026. Any other outcome, including no approval or usage authorization by the given date, will result in a No resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if, by March 31, 2027, a peer-reviewed scientific study confirms that energy in turbulence can transfer from small to large scales (backward energy cascade), reversing the traditional forward cascade model, as demonstrated by computer simulations at KTH Royal Institute of Technology. Confirmation must be published in a reputable scientific journal.

This market resolves to Yes if an official report states that the global average temperature has reached or exceeded 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by December 31, 2027. This is based on data from leading climate monitoring organizations such as NASA, NOAA, or the IPCC.